For those of us conscious of the fact that the present situation in both our sceptred isle(s) and in the world beyond presents manifold grounds for very grave concern,
we present here a concise summary of how we assess the trajectory of current developments with regards to peace, stability and liberty.
If we were to rank such concerns in order of existential severity (but not in expected chronology), we would list them thus:
Obviously, there would be overlap between several of the foregoing, but for the sake of simplicity we can consider each of them in turn.
However, before delving into that, let us take a moment to refamiliarise ourselves by means of a review of the bigger strategic picture, starting with the fact that Russia is attempting
to retake Ukraine by force of arms.
This enterprise began in the wake of a
speech made by President Putin in January 2022 describing the “special military operation” as nothing less than a
first step in securing Russia against the menace of western expansionism that surged eastward after the dissolution of the USSR, laying out what some have taken as an argument for the effective
reconsolidation of that which was lost; not that we are defending NATO, but (a) no agreement was ever formalised promising Russia that NATO would refuse members from the old
Warsaw Pact, despite the
popular misconception amongst conservatives that such an agreement exists, and (b) NATO lacks the manpower in Europe to invade Russia during a hot war, as Putin well knows; as of the date of this article,
the US Army has
a mere ten divisions,
which is scarcely enough to hold the continental United States, much less invade Russia.
Putin's rhetoric forms part of the
Eurasianist doctrine
that he and his inner circle appear addicted to and perhaps most ably articulated by his infamous “Rasputin”,
Alexander Dugin,
an ex-KGB officer and frequent writer on geopolitics.
Dugin is an advocate of what he calls
The Fourth Political Theory,
calling for an essentially “new” form of governance that seeks to combine what he defines as the best elements of fascism, communism and capitalism, but one which already exists
in modern China and pretty much also in Russia itself in the form of a not-named-as-such, but nonetheless real, “Market Marxism”, with top-down, heavy handed authoritarian
overlordship at the helm.
Although promulgated by a supporter of the de-Atlanticisation of Europe,
as the Russian elites like to term their goal of the removal of Anglo-American influence on the continent,
Dugin’s hybrid political system has apparently found eager takers in the West in the form of our very own globalist elites who admire the Chinese social credit model,
as Klaus Schwab of the World Economic Forum candidly admits:
"I think we should be very careful in imposing systems... but the Chinese model is certainly a very attractive model for quite a number of countries.” ~ Klaus Schwab, November 2022, as reported by TASS.
Schwab, as Davos clique frontman for the West’s elites, conveys what they really think and reveals, quite brazenly, their agenda both through public statements like the foregoing,
and in his written works, such as
COVID-19: The Great Reset.
So what we have, in fact, are the elites in both the East and the West signed up to a fully fleshed out tyrannical form of rule, with the only real differences between either side
reducing to the resolution of the question as to who gets to be top dog in the brave new world they all have in view, and it is that issue that is at the crux of the intensifying East-West
war of words, threats and the Ukraine conflict.
In simpler terms, we are living through a turf war between rival hyper-Socialist factions, meaning the “us and them” of it all does not simply amount to East versus West, but to the oligarchs
on both sides versus the rest of us, especially the freedom-loving, critical thinkers of this world.
It is that backdrop, and the concomitant geopolitical powerplay underway, that sets the immediate context of the present threat matrix, which we now review point by point.
"Britain always has been, is now, and will be our eternal enemy. At least until such time as their arrogant, despicably dank island sinks into the abyss of the sea from a wave triggered by a cutting-edge Russian weapons system." ~ Dmitri Medvedev, ex President of Russia and current deputy chairman of the Security Council of Russia.
"For Western countries, for you, British listeners, I would say that Vladimir Putin told us he would be ready to use nuclear weapons against Western countries, including nuclear weapons against Great Britain... Your cities will be targeted." ~ Sergey Markov, ex advisor to Vladimir Putin, speaking in an interview on BBC Radio 4's Today programme in November 2022.
By now it is patently obvious that Russia and China are already committed to engaging the West in a nuclear showdown, which is deducible not merely from the increasingly confident and bellicose
statements made by both counties, and not merely from the fact that the balance of nuclear arms has shifted very heavily in their favour thanks to their own intensive modernisation
programs and the West’s
failure to develop or upgrade its own strategic weaponry for around forty years,
but also from the longstanding revelations of Russian and, to a lesser extent, Chinese strategy revealed by the defector literature, most notably that of
Anatoliy Golitsyn in
New Lies for Old and
The Perestroika Deception, and that of
Stanislav Lunev, and also that of
Viktor Suvarov in
Spetznaz.
In all respects, a concerted effort was made to disarm the West literally, as well as morally through “active measures” and mentally in terms of convincing the West that Russia was no longer
essentially communist and that it was very much a spent force and therefore no longer a threat (for a much needed antidote to pro-Russian propaganda in the West, see our article,
Why the Russians are not the Good Guys).
Today, Russia’s military is riven with disorganisation, corruption, low morale and bad leadership, as the debacle in Ukraine attests, but out of similar chaotic conditions the
Red Army of World War Two (or "Great Patriotic War”, as the Russians like to term it)
became an irresistible force.
However, the centrepiece of Russian power is not its
conventional army, much less its navy or its air force, but rather its
vast and continually growing and modernising nuclear weaponry.
China, meanwhile, has its own pending Ukraine in the form of Taiwan, and unlike Russia, it has a
massive conventional army, a large air force, and is rapidly homing in on possessing
a bona fide blue water navy that would be capable, when finished, of standing toe-to-toe with the US Navy and breaking out of the
first island chain that has so far served to help deter its expansionist ambitions in the Pacific.
A Joint Clenched Fist in the East, a Split in the West?
According to the defectors, China and Russia have maintained an ongoing, long-term strategic pact behind the charade of the
Sino-Soviet split of the 1960s, in which they would
bide their time until the West would become adequately weakened for them to confidently strike together in what they call a
“one clenched fist”
attack.
However, before arriving at the point of fully blown war, both Russia and China would welcome a prestigious and morale-boosting victory in the form of, say, dividing NATO
and retaking Taiwan.
In the former instance, Cold War thinking in Whitehall (and presumably the other NATO corridors of power) was that the Warsaw Pact forces would attempt
to invade a small NATO country, specifically, Denmark, with a view to demonstrating that
Article 5 is a paper tiger (according to declassified materials reviewed in
The Secret State by Peter Hennessey),
whereas nowadays any or all three of the Baltic states would be the most natural targets for that kind of enterprise.
Nevertheless, a similar victory might be claimed if Russia could prevail upon Turkey, the perennial fence-sitter within NATO’s ranks and
eager buyer of its military hardware,
to fully flip to Moscow (Turkey is presently under sanctions from the US for its purchase of S-400 air defence systems from Russia, and has been ejected from the F-35 stealth fighter
program for the same reason; then in September 2023, the US
sanctioned five Turkish firms for aiding Russia and Iran in developing drone technology,
hardly an encouraging sign for a NATO ally).
Russian & Chinese Strategic Preparations
Russia also appears extremely eager to secure its own western flank against what it defines as NATO “aggression and encirclement”.
However, we assess that the
NATO forces in proximity to Russia’s borders (and for that matter, the allied naval forces operating in the first island chain to China’s east) are numerically too weak to be
anything more than a containment-deterrent operation.
Nevertheless, Moscow’s long term economic goal is to have a free hand to supply its hydrocarbons to Europe’s energy markets
and therefore its strategic aims mandate the total military defeat of the US and the UK, thereby removing the Anglo nuclear umbrella from continental Europe and paving the way
for Russia to become Europe’s new senior partner... the de-Atlanticisation of Europe, in other words.
Russia has also been very active in seeking and acquiring
basing rights in the Mediterranean Sea,
especially in the eastern reaches of it, as well as in the Red Sea, presumably
with an eye on the rich bounty of hydrocarbons relatively recently discovered in the form of
Israel’s offshore Leviathan gas fields, the Levant now being classified by Moscow
as Russia’s “near abroad” and partially occupied as such (in
southern Syria);
at the same time, Russia continues to take an active, boots-on-the-ground interest in much of north
Africa, with Wagner forces there undertaking hearts and minds operations as part of their remit.
China too is intensely engaged in Africa in pursuit of minerals and other strategic gains, including a longer-term goal of possessing a
naval presence in the Atlantic.
In the meantime, China has been feverishly preparing for a global war, with
unoccupied empty cities
having been built to hold some 65 million homes, and with a
food-grab
campaign so frantic as to have led to rumours of some nations refusing (notably Argentina) to meet their demands, lest they leave their own populations short of supplies. That said,
it seems Argentina still
intends to produce pork for China on an industrial scale.
Any "one clenched fist” move by Russia and China could come only when (a) both are confident that the West is economically, societally and militarily dysfunctional and (b)
both have completed their pre-war preparations; in the case of Russia, as intimated, it needs to be confident its western approaches are buffered or otherwise readily defensible
and it has to overhaul its entire command and control structure in the wake of the weaknesses in it exposed by the Ukraine war.
In the case of China, it needs to fully develop
its joint operations capabilities within the three branches of its armed forces (a problem that has reputedly dogged China for years), and perhaps gain vital combat experience
in Taiwan (assuming it will opt for kinetic action rather than strangulating Taiwan into surrender via a blockade) and complete its acquisition of arms and supplies, before breaking out.
In other words, both countries need to double down on their preparations for a hot war with the West, which is presently what they are doing.
It is my view, and that of others who study such things, that North Korea with
its huge army will play a critical role in any war with the West.
An invasion of South Korea timed
for a Chinese breakout in the Pacific would greatly stretch America’s military resources and, if coupled with a further Russian adventure in eastern Europe, say, into the Baltic
states, would present the US with the dreaded two front scenario that its army lacks the manpower to deal with.
Russia Postured for First Strike, the US Postured to Absorb
When the time comes for the missiles to fly, received wisdom has it that Russia and China will launch first and target the command and control infrastructure of the US and the UK
primarily, plus possibly also nuclear-armed France in what would be a largely
counterforce barrage (i.e. attacking military and government sites first and foremost), in full
expectation of a limited counterforce retaliation.
When such a move would come to pass, the longstanding arrangement is (allegedly) that Russia is to provide the nuclear barrage and China the vast manpower to collectively stretch,
decapitate and overwhelm the West’s military capabilities; accordingly, Russia has its nuclear missiles postured for a first strike against the US, the UK and possibly
France whereas America, astonishingly, is postured - contrary to "expert" Annie Jacobsen's nonsense - to absorb a first strike in a wait-and-see policy, formalised in the
PDD-60 directive
of President Clinton in 1997 (but still in force today) that removed
Launch on Warning, as corroborated by Pentagon top brass interviewed by Ron Rosenbaum in
How the End Begins.
Beyond that, however, both sides would be expected to switch to
countervalue targets, that is, large urban areas and industrial sites; given that
most major western nations have something of the order of
80-90% of their populations in urban residence,
and with little or no bunkering facilities in most countries of the West,
this presents a very appealing point of leverage for Russian and Chinese planners.
Nuclear War Misconceptions
A common error made by those of us with a preparedness mindset is that a war with Russia would be over quickly, consisting of only one wave of missiles.
This is not the case, however,
as strategic nuclear doctrine requires multiple salvoes and retargetting in what the layman might term as “overkill”, and we would expect this applies more particularly to hardened targets such as
military bases, known or suspected sites of deep bunkering, and large strategic targets such as deep water port facilities.
Another error is that nuclear war cannot occur because the parties are assured of mutual destruction and besides, it would precipitate a nuclear winter that would pose a threat to
the continuation of life on the planet.
Neither of these premises are believed by the war planners on either side, with the latter in particular
considered by many to be junk science or even a
Russian-concocted artefact of Cold War propaganda.
(For more depth on this subject, see our blog article, 5 Popular Nuclear War Myths).
Fallout, however, is a serious consideration, particularly downwind of hardened military targets which require
groundburst detonations that inevitably irradiate the debris and
eject it high into the atmosphere; civilian targets, on the other hand, are thought to be more likely to undergo
airburst attacks, in which a nuclear warhead is detonated above
a city to send a shockwave downwards to destroy all its buildings and incinerate much of its population with its heat flash.
We think we are on safe enough ground by assuming that most of you who read this will have a conservative worldview and therefore, if you have been paying attention both to the
downward course that liberty has been on in recent years and to the disturbing emanations from the think-tanks and talking shops of our elites, then you will know that government is becoming
increasingly unaccountable and menacing to those who do not support what might reasonably be described as regime narratives.
Those narratives are, obviously, the globalists' / "international community's" party line on the whole spectrum of woke issues, immigration, the environment, and so on,
with all of these subjects now poised to be not simply promoted as the new values we should collectively, as a society, embrace in regimented groupthink, but protected and indeed enforced as such.
Thought crime is now becoming a thing, so to speak, with police harassment of people for making the most innocuous of social media posts if anyone on the woke side of the
fence takes offence, and rigorous, nay, terrifyingly draconian laws are now in the bill phase in every western nation to clamp down hard on prospective offenders:
All of the above principally concern enforcing, upon pain of great penalty, the present woke narrative that unifies all the western governments and major political parties, and when one considers that
the Left is now redefining violence and hatred as merely remaining silent instead of voicing support for its causes,
it is obvious that the suite of mass censorship laws listed above will become abused, in short order, to come down heavy on conservatives.
But it gets worse.
The other elephant in the room besides the woke mastodon is the enviro-cult tyranny that has effectively framed the majority of humanity as useless eaters (now that
robotics and AI are projected to increasingly replace us in the workplace)
ruining the habitat that belongs to the earth’s self-appointed “stakeholders”: the elites.
We trust it has not escaped your notice that energy and food prices are unnaturally high in no small part due to the pressure to attain
Net Zero by 2050,
in order to save the planet from a non-existent climate crisis.
This is why the powers that be are
encouraging farmers to retire,
why they are pushing "fifteen minute cities" (and castigating those who oppose them as conspiracy theorists,
why we are told meat is bad for us and for the planet, why lab meat and mealworms are delicious, why the countryside
is scarred with ugly wind farms, why our electricity bills are extortionately high, why more and more people are in poverty, leading to broken marriages
and broken childhoods and a slew of other knock-on ills.
And now we have the prospect of the Climate and Ecology Bill in the UK,
which would mandate police officers violating our homes to help enforce the deployment of intrusive smart meters, designed
to dictate our daily energy consumption.
Now imagine how much more enforceable that and the woke litany will become when the programmable Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) are deployed, with the
Digital Pound scheduled for around mid-decade;
deviate even slightly from the narrative, and you will be downgraded, cancelled, suspended, or even arrested, charged and imprisoned.
Remember Klaus Schwab’s comment expressing his admiration for the Chinese model, quoted earlier?
With the above laws, and with a programmable CBDC, we will have all the electronic and legal infrastructure in place for a Chinese style social credit dystopia spanning every western
country; that is to say, we are hurtling at breakneck pace towards a crypto-Marxist tyranny here in the now only nominally "free" West.
To prepare for this, there can be realistically no wholly urban-based solution; as a conservative, you have to minimise the impact of the coming tyranny by retreating to the privacy of
the rural world, while still at liberty to do so.
If governmental responses to Covid-19 worldwide were not a wake-up call for you, then we fear you are pretty much reading the wrong article.
Regardless of your stance on the vaccine – personally, I refused to take an untested and therefore automatically
risky mRNA concoction developed by
a pharmaceutical industry that was given immunity from liability by
politicians who serve think-tanks that
subtly and indirectly call for population reduction to “save the planet”
- it is inevitable that either another pandemic will come along and present a second
"rare but narrow window of opportunity to reflect, reimagine, and reset our world”,
as Klaus Schwab described the first pandemic, or a new cure-all gene therapy will arrive and be
made mandatory, along with expressing the correct opinions, for ongoing participation in the workforce, commerce, the military, education, travel, and so on.
The pandemic was, regardless of your view of the governments’ responses, a real-world test of mass compliance in the face of an ostensible public healthcare crisis which, in the final
analysis, had a very high survivability.
We submit that having validated their theory that most people would tow the line, the powers that be will find that, for the majority of society, they will be able to sell
a subsequent mass compliance healthcare initiative such as the gene therapy concept we mentioned above, as that would really amount to no less than a more mature form of the controversial
vaccine passport schemes proposed during the Covid pandemic.
Naturally, then, the question as to mitigating such a gross imposition arises, and the starting point to the answer is the same as to the previous two threats: self-extrication from urban
settings and relocation to the countryside, where fewer prying eyes abound and the leeway to bend the rules (such as sneaking out for illicit walks during lockdowns) exists.
As a conservative, switched-on reader, dare we presume that you are aware of the
reports of doom and gloom projections about the levels of food production?
We mentioned above that China has been busying itself stockpiling food supplies for its population,
not just for its military, and by way of explanation (aside from World War Three planning)
there have been rumours – unsubstantiated – that the Chinese authorities anticipate a period of severe crop failures driven by wetter than usual weather patterns; that, of course,
could be a cover story for all the war planning, but then again, it might contain a kernel of truth.
It has also been proposed by some that Russia’s war in Ukraine is also, at least partially, related to the same concern, given that Ukraine is a grain-producing powerhouse.
Meanwhile, here in the UK some supermarkets (i.e. ASDA) have been practising an unspoken rationing system, in which customers are not permitted to buy more than one or two “own label”
staple food products.
All of this might appear to be a recommendation to consider a self-sufficient lifestyle in the countryside, but rather, having stayed as the guest of a disillusioned self-sufficiency purist
on the continent,
we consider growing ones own food to be a risky strategy because it requires more than some seeds and a few how-to books to successfully maintain a victory garden.
It is better, therefore, to focus on quietly accumulating supplies, just as the elites are doing, and having self-sufficient victory gardening as a fallback rather than a frontline strategy.
And as before, to do this with optimal privacy and security, you will have to be located far from urban centres.
There are many perma-bears in the conservative community who, for years if not decades, have been predicting a catastrophic, TEOTWAKI (The End Of The World As We Know It) economic disaster.
And yet... Harder and more expensive though life is becoming, fiat currencies and the major banks, despite occasional wobbles, have remained intact and the Dollar is still the
world’s reserve currency.
Nevertheless, we do believe that an economic collapse is coming, perhaps in the following very basic chronology:
At, or around the time, when western society becomes wholly disenfranchised with the CBDC system and with eating vegan slop in a joyless tagged-and-monitored control grid, the wheels of
governance will start to fall off the wagon and the time of convergence that the Russian and Chinese defectors spoke of will have arrived, with their sworn enemy down and in a prone
position, waiting to be picked off; that is, global nuclear war between Russia (plus its allies) and the West will by then be in clear view.
The Cloward-Piven strategy was a 1960s Marxist plan to bring the US and the remainder of the West to its knees by overburdening its economy and infrastructure with a massive influx of
immigrants from the Third World.
Today, every western nation - large or small - has a problem with unfettered immigration from the Third World, bubbling up into increased social disquiet between alarmed native populations and
the Leftist facilitators in their midst who frame any criticism of their logic-defying stance on immigration as "far right extremism".
And as with all of the other emerging threats of the present decade, cities are the hot zones.
But again, things are only getting started.
If you thought previous waves of immigrant-instigated
civil unrest, rioting, looting, burning and fighting were bad, just take a moment to think what it will be like when the current tsunami of immigration hits critical mass levels in all of
our cities,
and the disconnect between their vast numbers and the host population's ability to sustain them financially (never mind tolerate them) reaches elephantine proportions.
Every city in the UK will experience unprecedented levels of turmoil, and the police and military will be called in to try to keep a lid on it, so expect heavy handed government responses, curfews,
travel restrictions, road blocks, supply shortages, perhaps even power cuts and comms outages, as well as collapse of essential healthcare services and perhaps the postal service in the
period leading up to the war with Russia and China later this decade.
From various sources, we assess that the following chain of events will occur this decade:
There is much more detail we could add, but this platform is not the place for that; suffice to say, if you have been paying attention to Russian and Chinese moves and, more importantly,
to the doctrines behind those moves, you will know that they are already committed to, and on a path towards, engaging the West with nuclear warfare this decade.
However, you will also know that, given the machinations of the WEF-set here in the West, the window to prepare is closing fast; long before this war that all parties are spoiling for and
preparing for begins, the CBDCs will kick in and your buying power may very
well be greatly diminished, as may your liberty to live outside the surveillance panopticon of the towns and cities.
Therefore, if your plan is to wait until the worst case looks imminent,
it will be too late to act; nations states such as Sweden, Finland and Switzerland have been proactively making bunkering preparations for their populations,
and wealthy people worldwide have been taking the matter into their own hands; that is to say,
Everybody is Bunkering Down... So why aren't You?
Accordingly, don’t leave it until the last moment by waiting for clarity on the brink of annihilation.
Now is the time to cancel all your plans, drop what you are doing, and run for the hills... And if you need help in doing that, perhaps we can discreetly be of
service.