World War Three News Hub

"The Trigger Event for WW3 is This"

• Asserts that a North Korean incursion into South Korea is the likely WW3 trigger event.
• Reminds us that rural relocation is the number one step to surviving the coming nuclear war.
• Time to prepare is running out, even though the war will not start before China is ready in 2027, as Russia will not engage the West directly without China's full readiness.

Our commentary: There is much metaphorical gold in this interview, and we agree that the time to make preparations is now. We also largely concur with the thesis that war is planned to begin in Korea, albeit we assert that events in the Middle East will - after a period of false peace - draw Russia and its allies into a premature decision to strike the West and that this will occur between mid 2028 and mid 2029.

77,000 ex-servicemen could suddenly be called up to fight in WW3

Source: Express (2024-04-20)

• Many ex-soldiers are technically liable to call-up in the event of war under Section 22 of theReserve Forces Act (RFA) 1996.
• Ex-regular officers retain a recall liability in perpetuity (which may come as a surprise to many).

Our commentary: File under psychological preparations in advance of the war. Although WW3 will not happen before mid 2028, all prospective belligerents (including the UK) have to get their ducks in a row for it ASAP.

UK needs a defence review to 'work out' the threats it faces

Source: Sky News (2024-04-13)

• UK has no missile defences for London (or any other city).
• The undersea cables connecting the UK to the US are vulnerable.
• UK has no tactical nuclear weapons.

Our commentary: This is a continued fulfilment of our prediction that narratives from opinion-makes for a massive expansion of defence spending in the UK (and other NATO states) will grow and grow until government "caves in" (even though it wants such narratives so that it can respond accordingly - that's how laws are made in the West).

'We are preparing for war' (Belarus)

"We are preparing for war, I say that openly." ~ Alexander Lukashenko, President of Belarus, 6th April 2024.

Source: Express (2024-04-06)

• Lukashenko hints that Poland might invade his country.
• Belarus has been posturing as if to attack Lithuania and Poland.
• Belarus has developed a conscription system based on SMS messaging.

Our commentary: This amounts to more than just some sabre-rattling. As a puppet state of Russia's, Belarus is every bit as much on-side with the irrerversible march to war with NATO as its master state is.

Britain should consider Swedish-style military conscription, former MI6 chief says

Source: LBC (2024-04-05)

• Sweden requires all 18-year-olds to join a provisional waiting list and then selects who will be compelled to serve on an "as needed" basis.
• This follows Latvia's reintroduction of conscription earlier this year and its calls for NATO allies to do the same.
• Also earlier this year, British Army head, Patrick Sanders, spoke of the need to mobilise the UK public.

"...as the pre-war generation we must... prepare — and that is a whole-of-nation undertaking." ~ General Patrick Sanders, British Army chief.

Our commentary: Here we are witnessing more of the predicted calls for national service / conscription in advance of the coming war with Russia and a strengthening of the message that said war will happen. The British government knows very well what is coming, but still fails to urge the British people to make preparations to survive. On the contrary, its young people are being psychologically prepared to die fighting.

Kremlin says Russia and NATO are now in "direct confrontation"

Source: Alarabiya (2024-04-04)

• Putin's Press Secretary, Dmitry Peskov, repeats Russia's complaint that NATO is moving towards its borders.
• Complains that NATO accepted membership from Poland, the 3 Baltic states, et al, and thereby "cheated" Russia.
• Interprets NATO's assistance of Ukraine as de facto belligerence in the war.

Our commentary: NATO never once promised Russia it would not accept new members, despite this fallacy being widely disseminated as fact by both Russia and disaffected western conservatives. Peskov's statement is to be interpreted as primarily for Russia's domestic audience and to reinforce the aforementioned myth among its sympathisers in the West.

NATO members playing 'Russian roulette' ~ Grant Shapps

"We have moved from a post-war to a pre-war world." ~ Grant Shapps, UK Defence Minister, 4th April 2024.

"We have a tyrant in Europe who is trying to redraw borders by force and there are two choices. You can appease that approach or you can confront that approach." ~ David Cameron, ex Prime Minister, 4th April 2024.

Source: Telegraph (2024-04-04)

• Some NATO members are still failing to meet the 2% of GDP commitment on defence spending required for membership.
• The UK currently spends 2.27% of its GDP on defence, but there are calls to increase it to 2.5% or even 3%.
• Vulnerable Poland spends 3.9% of its GDP on defence and the US 3.2%, while Germany is discussing increasing its spend to 3.5%.
• David Cameron, meanwhile, likens the situation to Europe in 1938, just as WW2 was beckoning.

Our commentary: This is part of the long-predicted salvo of rallying cries from establishment voices in the run-up to the coming nuclear war with Russia, with the aim being to build a narrative for government to increase defence spending (and probably on a massive scale as the war gets closer) and to justify possible conscription. However, civil defence planning will continue to be largely ignored, leaving private citizens to fend for themselves.

Is the UK preparing for war amid threats of conflict?

Source: Sky News (2024-04-03)

"The problem is, there is no plan" ~ Keith Dear, ex RAF Intelligence Officer.

• The UK has no national civil defence plans in place.
• There are no plans to mobilise the population or industry.
• Whitehall is reviewing old "War Books" from the Cold War (for examples of such materials, see The Secret State by Peter Hennessy).
• Air defences are weak, coastal defences essentially non-existent, ammunition stocks are precariously low.
• A 2 day wargame is scheduled for next week to assess Britain's readiness for war.
• UK government claims it has "robust plans", but that is derided by the concerned experts.

Our commentary: If the UK government does not start an immediate mass program of nuclear war fallout sheltering, there simply will not be enough time to do so, and even at that, there will not be enough time to do it comprehensively. It is our view that the present academic exercises being undertaken by Whitehall, along with the calls from retired officials for action, amount to narrative-building for some degree of near-future government action (regardless of which party will be in office after the next election), and we expect some degree of civil defence planning, but if it happens at all, the short window to get ready means it will fall woefully short of the preparations already in place in Finland, Sweden and Switzerland. Anything the UK government does now to redress this national scandal woild be too little, too late.

Chilling warning from former spy chief who makes dire prediction - 'threats are growing'

Source: Express (2024-04-02)

• Former security and counter-terrorism minister, Pauline Neville-Jones, calls for 2.5% of UK's GDP to be spent on defence.
• UK currently spends 2.27% of GDP on defence.
• Defence Secretary Grant Shapps wants a 3% spend, with some calling for a cut in foreign aid to fund it.

Our commentary: These calls for defence spending increases from people of influence will eventually become a crescendo. The UK government (regardless of which party is at the helm) will then "cave in to the pressure" (that the establishment has already decided shall be the case) and go all-out in WW3 preparations in the near future.

Japan to build underground civilian bomb shelters made of steel amid fears China will attack Taiwan

Source: Mirror (2024-04-01)

• Japan to build 30cm thick steel-reinforced concrete bunkers in southernmost islands within Okinawa prefecture.
• Bunkers will hold enough food and water for 2 weeks.

Our commentary: 30cm of concrete is roughly one foot thick, which is the standard thickness required to block gamma radiation from nuclear detonations, and the food and water supply for 2 weeks points to the expected typical time one would have to spend sheltering in a bunker during a nuclear strike. Japan is plainly concerned that China will deploy nuclear weapons if it attemps to retake Taiwan, but we would suggest this is a priming exercise to get the Japanese public ready for more widespread bunker construction in the country in advance of the nuclear war China and Russia are committed to later this decade.

Vladimir Putin's puppet warns UK to be 'buried under radioactive wave' in chilling threat

Source: Express (2024-04-01)

• Vladimir Solovyov repeated the Russian trope that the UK will be draowned under a nuclear-induced tidal wave.
• He also threatened France and reminded the French of a pevious humiliation against Russia in the days of Napoleon.
• His threats are a populist expression in contrast to the Kremlin's more restrained language.

Our commentary: Putin's Russia has always used angry attack dogs in its media to call for cartoonishly exaggerated responses to NATO's policy towards the Ukraine war. This is a way to channel the rage of angry members of the Russian public and to desensitise them to the coming war with the West, later this decade.

Putin signs conscription decree; Russia 'will certainly gain more land', Musk warns

Source: Sky News (2024-04-01)

• Putin has signed a decree to add 150,000 new conscripts to his forces.
• Elon Musk predicts Russia will "gain more land" inside Ukraine.
• Musk calls for a negotiated settlement.

Our commentary: Musk understimates Russia's objectives and fails to grasp that Ukraine is not an end in itself for Russia, but part of a greater strategy to secure its western flank in advance of the nuclear war with NATO that it and China are committed circa 2028 / 2029. A negotiated settlement would be interpreted by Russia as weakness (just as Chamberlain's "peace in our time" deal was by Hitler) and taken as an invitation to repeat the same trick until all of Ukraine, the Baltics and Moldova (if not more areas) are brought back under Moscow's control.

WW3 fears rise as more countries back Emmanuel Macron after NATO threat chaos

Source: Express (2024-04-01)

(Image by www.slon.pics on Freepik).

• NATO governments are praising Macron for fostering strategic ambiguity.
• Affirmation that NATO will not (officially) send troops to Ukraine yet.
• Russia has reacted angrily to the prospect of NATO troops entering the fray and threatened it would lead to WW3.

Our commentary: Both sides are sounding each other out and playing a game of bluff at present. There are probably already NATO troops in Ukraine in some informal capacity, and it may be the case that France and others will send troops to the west of the country later this year if Ukrainian resistance buckles (which now seems increasingly likely), but Russia is not yet ready to go to nuclear war with the West, even though it fully intends to later this decade, so its threats of instant escalation to WW3 are hollow.

Nuclear war fears sparks expert to warn 'hundreds of millions will die in minutes'

Source: Express (2024-03-30)

"We are one misunderstanding, one miscalculation away from nuclear Armageddon and no matter how nuclear war starts, it ends with everyone dead" ~ Annie Jacobsen.

• Annie Jacobsen is an author on the subject of WW3.
• Says that America's policy of Launch on Warning would guarantee a nuclear holocaust.
• Points out that nuclear missiles cannot be cancelled after launch, calling that a Hollywood fantasy.

Our commentary: This is perhaps the most egregious case of a so-called expert talking without having undertaken thorough research, because the US abandoned Launch on Warning as far back as 1997 under President Clinton's PDD-60 directive, as corroborated in interviews with Pentagon top brass conducted by Ron Rosenbaum for his 2010 book, How the End Begins. US policy, perhaps amazingly, is to absorb a first strike and then build a narrative for a measured response. That said, this policy may very well change before the war with Russia arrives later this decade, but for now, this article goes in the bad research folder (along with its "everyone will die" fallacy).

War looms for Europe, warns Poland’s Donald Tusk

Source: Politico (2024-03-29)

“I don’t want to scare anyone, but war is no longer a concept from the past. I know it sounds devastating, especially to people of the younger generation, but we have to mentally get used to the arrival of a new era... The pre-war era. I don’t exaggerate. This is becoming more and more apparent every day.” ~ Donald Tusk, Poland's PM.

• Tusk calls for a radical increase in defence spending across NATO.
• Says that we are in the most critical moment since WW2.
• Urges Europe to count on its own mettle for defence rather than over-reliance on the US.

Our commentary: We agree that Europe, and the world beyond, is hurtling towards WW3 and that this is indeed the most dangerous time geopolitically since WW2, but we temper that assessment by saying that nuclear war, though coming later this decade, is not yet imminent.

China’s aircraft and warships surround Taiwan as invasion threat surges

Source: Express (2024-03-29)

• 7 Chinese warship surrounded Taiwan on Sunday.
• A few days earlier, 8 Chinese vessels did the same.

Our commentary: This is just part of a long-established pattern in which China tries to intimidate Taiwan and tests its responses and reaction times. It does not portend an imminent invasion of Taiwan. We assess that China will probably not attempt to retake Taiwan before its "joint clenched fist" ally, Russia, emerges from Ukraine with a victory.

NATO issues horror WW3 warning after Russian missiles cross alliance's border

Source: Express (2024-03-27)

• Poland's deputy foreign minister threatens to shoot down any Russian missiles that traverse its territory.
• Such shoot-downs would include interceptions over Ukraine.

Our commentary: By no means would a NATO shoot-down of a Russian missile whose trajectory takes it over Polish territory constitute a WW3 trigger event, just as the act of a Russian missile breaching NATO territory en route to a target in western Ukraine did not plunge the world into war. WW3 will be triggered by much more serious developments than that, but as part of the ongoing desensitisation process designed to prepare the western public for the inevitable war, alarmist headlines like this will continue.

Britain admits it could not fight Russia for longer than 2 months

Source: RBC-Ukraine (2024-03-27)

• Thanks to lack of ammunition, the UK could not engage Russia in a conventional war for any longer than 2 months.
• Grant Shapps, the Defence Secretary, claims it is not a problem because the UK would only be fighting Russia with the help of the rest of NATO.
• The report calls for a recruitment drive as well as huge spending on ammunition and new equipment.

Our commentary: This news is part of the priming process for the UK to radically transform its defence spending and perhaps also to introduce conscription. In the nations of the West, the ruling cadre's policies are generally only legislated for after demands for it are first engineered from experts in the relevant field whose role in the process is to build a narrative upon which new bills can be drafted.

WW3 nuclear Armageddon fears... "a much bigger threat than Putin"

Source: Express (2024-03-26)

The "experts" in the article assert that:

• Due to its centralised command-and-control and the "rational" thinking of its leadership, Russia is likely to be restrained in using nukes.
• Pakistan is more of a loose cannon and poses a more likely first-user of modern nuclear weapons.
• Putin does not want to start a nuclear war and only intends a conventional war with NATO until he achieves his goals (to reconstitute the USSR).

Our commentary: Naive "experts" that have not read the defector literature or studied the Russian establishment's entrenched culture have no business attempting to interpret Russian intentions. Conquering Ukraine and other former territories of the USSR is not an end in itself, but for Putin the beginning of an irreversible process that ends in a direct nuclear assault designed to defeat the nations of the West once and for all. Authoritarianism begets capriciousness, which means that although we in the West imagine Russia’s leadership to always act in a rational fashion with respect to nuclear warfare, the risk of an impulsive, knee-jerk all-out barrage against the West is much higher than western analysts probably imagine.

Russian Missile Encroaches Poland's Airspace

Source: France24 (2024-03-25)

• Russia launched an intensive missile barrage against the Kiev and western Ukraine on Sunday 24th March 2024.
• A single Russian missile was detected briefly (for 39 seconds) traversing Polish territory.
• Some observers are hyping it as a near-trigger event for World War Three.
• Poland has demanded an explanation from Russia.

Our commentary: Whether this was "accidentally on purpose" (to test the detetction capabilities and the reactions of the Poles) or a genuine missile guidance error, it will prove to be by no means a WW3 trigger incident, no more than Turkey's shoot-down of a Russian strike plane that wandered over its territory in 2015 was.

Rather, while both East and West are committed with divergent degrees of transparency to nuclear global war later this decade, neither side has yet completed its preparations and therefore all bellicose reactions to incidents such as that described above are to be interpreted as part of the psychological component to nuclear war preparations.

Baltic States want Conscription for NATO allies

Source: Financial Times (2024-03-25)

• Latvia & Estonia have made the plea, in light of the minuscule size of their own armies and populations.
• Political feedback from larger NATO members is presenting arguments against conscription, as well as arguments for it.
• Estonia is urging other NATO countries to increase their defence budgets, to match the pro rata levels of the US.
• Calls made for the EU and US to split defence of Europe 50-50, to minimise reliance on America.

Our commentary: We interpret these calls as priming western populations for an already-decided policy of near-future conscription, with reservations about it being chiefly window-dressing. Conscription is only a matter of time, in all likelihood.

FRANCE ISSUES NUCLEAR WARNING!

Source: Canadian Prepper (via YouTube) (2024-03-15)

• Macron declares that France's nuclear arms are ready for war.
• Russia under a low grade assault by drones and "rebel groups", which some interpret at Russian false flag attacks to strengthen Putin's hand.
• Belarus is making active war preparations, including receivig nuclear weapons from Russia.
• Rumours of French soldiers near Romania's border with Ukraine.

Our commentary: Because neither NATO nor Russia nor China are yet ready to enter a fully blown WW3 scenario, and in fact will not be before 2027 at the earliest, Macron's words are to be taken as pre-war-with-Russia rallying, to build a social and political consensus at home and in other NATO states calling for heavy defence spending and, in some cases (such as Germany's), for civil defence measures. Re Russian internal false flags, be aware that Russia does not need to manipulate public opinion in the same fashion that the West does, insofar as narratives are built directly by the government, whereas in the West that tends to be delegated to the "expert caste", NGOs, etc., and then the governments "respond" to that to maintain the impression of accountability.

Britain is in a 'grey war' with Russia, former MI6 boss warns

Source: Express (2024-03-15)

• Asserts the UK must increase defence spending to at least 2.5% of GDP.
• Names Russia + China as the enemy.
• Confirms the UK is already at war with both nations - a "grey war".
• Laments the small size of the UK's naval fleet and low soldier numbers (ca. 76,000 troops).
• UK Naval vessels being mothballed due to crew shortages.

Our commentary: This is a rational assessment of both the situation between the UK and Russia and the poorly prepared state of Britain's armed forces, and as such is plainly a call for funds to re-arm and embark on a massive recruitment drive. The article stops short of explicitly stating what we know to be the case: that Russia's invasion of Ukraine is not intended as an end of itself, but is an attempt at securing Russia's western flank thereby is a first step towards an irreversible march to nuclear war with the West.

US nuke officer warns 45 million Russians will be 'vaporised' in an hour during NATO war

Source: Express (2024-03-15)

• A former Nuclear & Missile Operations Officer in the USAF made the assertion on X.
• Calls for the Russian people to stop supporting Putin.
• Confirms that the US is making credible preparations for nuclear war with Russia and China.

Our commentary: The article is timed for the sham Presidential election in Russia and appears little more than a weak destabilisation attempt. We do, of course, agree that the US is preparing for nuclear war with Russia, but we caution against placing too much faith in projected casualty figures in Russia due to the extent of Russian deep bunkering preparations for its population, a defensive measure lacking in most western countries, including the UK.

Maps show devastation Russian nukes would cause in US and UK

Source: METRO (2024-03-14)

The article presents cameos from an interactive map that allows the user to make a selection from a range of nuclear warheads and then display the effects on any desired city and its environs in terms of blast radii, thermal effects, fallout dispersal, etc.

Our commentary: The article is a rehash of earlier articles covering the same topic and the tool featured in the article may give the uninformed user the mistaken belief that Russia has a deployable Tsar Bomba, or even that such a device would be practical in a real nuclear war when, in fact, it is not.

The map you really need to concern yourself with can be found in our blog article, UK Threat Matrix & Retreat Considerations.

Russia-Ukraine war live: conflict could spin out of control due to Nato actions, claims Russia

Source: METRO (2024-03-14)

The article presents cameos from an interactive map that allows the user to make a selection from a range of nuclear warheads and then display the effects on any desired city and its environs in terms of blast radii, thermal effects, fallout dispersal, etc.

Our commentary: The article is a rehash of earlier articles covering the same topic and the tool featured in the article may give the uninformed user the mistaken belief that Russia has a deployable Tsar Bomba, or even that such a device would be practical in a real nuclear war with Russia and China when, in fact, it is not.