"For the first time in many years, we have to actively prepare for the possibility of the UK homeland coming under direct threat, potentially in a wartime scenario." ~ Quotation from National Security Strategy 2025: Security for the British People in a Dangerous World on 24th June 2025.
A Second String to the UK’s Deterrent
Given that the UK currently relies exclusively on its Vanguard class submarines to carry its nuclear deterrent (in the form of 16 Trident II missiles each),
the biggest news in this June’s National Security Strategy 2025 (NSS 2025) is that
the UK is to acquire 12 Lockheed F-35A stealth fighter-bombers
to serve as a deep interdiction nuclear bomb delivery platform, potentially using
American-owned nuclear warheads under a
nuclear sharing arrangement
such as that in place in Belgium, the Netherlands, Germany, Italy and Turkey.
Whereas the UK already has F-35Bs for deployment on its two large Queen Elizabeth class aircraft carriers, they are limited by being
V/STOL platforms that
lack the carrying capacity and range of the conventional take-off F-35A.
Unlike many observers who think the acquisition of any further military kit from the US is fraught with the potential risk of a whimsical Donald Trump
activating secret
kill switches,
we assess this to be a non-concern as we interpret all of the President’s bellicosity on leaving Europe to fend for
itself as nothing more nefarious than shock therapy designed to build a narrative in Europe for a surge in defence spending.
That is, we assert that the establishment in Europe is and always has been one with that in America, and that it is the said western establishment that
calls the shots, even in Trump’s America.
Returning to Britain’s proposed F-35A procurement, evasively nebulous wording surrounds the projected sourcing of the funding (hint: tax hikes).
As to be expected, the new platform is being framed as an expansion of the UK’s deterrent rather than what it probably really is, i.e., a means
of carrying tactical nuclear destruction to massed enemy forces, and seems designed primarily with a near future ground war on the continent in mind (see the diagram
at the end of this article).
Defence Spending to reach 5% of GDP by 2035
The timing for Britain to attain a
5% GDP defence spend is set at a preposterous 2035, a full decade from now,
yet we assess that the war will be fought and done with within half that time, but we believe the PM and the British establishment knows that perfectly well,
given that the
German and other European intelligence services have been predicting war with Russia before the decade’s end.
In view of that conclusion, it seems prudent to interpret timescales in the document as nothing more than subject-broachers designed to gently prime us for
revised projections to come.
On China & Russia
According to the document, the Chinese are all over British industry and academia like the proverbial rash, spying on an “industrial” scale with a view to
stealing as much intellectual property as possible in its accelerating game of technological catch-up.
Universities (always a hotbed of anti-British, hard-left sentiment) and businesses have to become somehow resilient (a word used repeatedly throughout the
document) and hardened to Chinese machinations, yet, on the other hand and totally paradoxically, Britain is to continue to seek favourable trade considerations
with this mortal and existential enemy.
Meanwhile, punitive treatments are to be meted to firms doing business with Russia, which is clearly seen as the greater threat to the UK of the two non-western geopolitical
behemoths.
Conjuring Stoicism
“We remain a resolute country, rich in history, values and in our capabilities. But most of all, there is the determination of the British people themselves. After all, we do not need to look too far into our history for an example of a whole-of-society effort, motivated by a collective will to keep each other safe... We can mobilise that spirit again and use it both for our national security and the rebuilding of our country." ~ Quotation from the Conclusion of National Security Strategy 2025: Security for the British People in a Dangerous World on 24th June 2025.
That was said by the author of the NSS 2025 document, with a straight face, apparently oblivious to the near total obliteration of the British public’s morale in the
face of unchecked mass immigration, Net-Zero-driven punitive cost of living hikes, two-tier policing and all-pervasive wokecraft.
Assuming he is not appealing to his favourites (the new arrivals and the surly, brooding, entitled minorities), the Prime Minister and the UK’s establishment
certainly have their work cut out if they think they can invoke the Dunkirk spirit of yesteryear in mobilising the British people’s resolve for the fight.
The disenfranchised, disaffected and institutionally maligned majority population is not just going to link arms and rally behind king and country now that
the third world war is looming on the horizon.
Unless the British establishment starts ruling for them again and serving their interests and listens to and heeds their concerns, there is zero chance of
posturing society for war.
That this fact is wholly lost on Keir Starmer and the uniparty state is seen in the document being besmirched with neo-liberal language and irrational fixation
on “inequality” and the standard,
ludicrous green agenda-kowtowing.
The government may be making “a call to action for an all-of-society effort to make our country stronger and more secure”, but, possibly absent the ascent to
power of Nigel Farage’s Reform Party (itself increasingly tainted with neo-liberal and globalist conformity), it will be angrily and roundly rejected by
the British people, making this a critical point of failure for Britain’s coming war preparations.
“This process starts with building greater public awareness of the threats we face”, NSS 2025 states, but here, once more, the establishment appears to misread
the mood of the British people, many of whom have become justifiably cynical of mainstream media and government narratives.
People do not trust the official line, in other words, but tragically that has made it much easier for Russia to sell its interpretations and talking points
to disillusioned patriots in the West, so again, the UK government has a major task on its hands in even persuading many people that the threat matrix is real.
Silence on Civil Defence
As expected, there is not a word in the document on civil defence preparations.
The government wants us to prepare for nuclear war with Russia in terms of building our military and magically developing national resolve out of the thin air of
eviscerated morale, but makes no mention of proactive defensive measures on a private level.
This stands in stark contrast to the messaging in
bunker-rich Finland and Sweden,
as well as even Germany, where the government is
urging the conversion of all manner of buildings into fallout shelters.
The message NSS 2025's omission sends on this is inadvertently fatalistic.
And that is because if you are saying nothing to the public about surviving a full-blown war with the most heavily nuclear armed state on earth, it follows
that you expect most of the British public to die in the conflict.
This stands in contrast to your efforts at raising awareness of the threat and your pursuit of societal conditioning for the fight.
And thereby it seems the higher-ups have not understood that there can be no whole society war preparation without giving everyone hope of surviving it, so aside from
performing a u-turn on how you treat the native population vis-à-vis the unwanted new arrivals, a starting point might be deconstructing
fatalist myths about nuclear war
and encouraging people to at least try to prepare to survive it and its aftermath.
The Laughable & Contemptible
There are also some class A exhibits within the document that highlight (a) how out of touch the UK’s establishment is with both the public sentiment and reality, and (b) how precarious the UK’s position is with respect to war with an uncompromisingly single-minded enemy:
- “Delivering stronger borders and upstream intervention to tackle the scourge of illegal migration”; interpretation: the UK government will, bar some window dressing, continue to do absolutely nothing to stem the morale-killing flow of immigration.
- Projecting and bolstering “strength abroad”; interpretation: more arms supplied to Ukraine, along with troops on the ground at some stage.
- The arts framed as a means of projecting soft power. Seriously. They argue that a strong arts investment equates to national security because it makes our enemies think we’re “cool” and therefore worthy of respect. Can you imagine battle-hardened Russian generals seeing a production of Julius Caesar performed by "disadvantaged minorities" and be compelled by that to alter their plans for dropping nukes on London? Here we see the British uniparty monolith plumb new depths of absurdity to justify wasting huge amounts of taxpayer money on nationally debasing and self-destructive vanity projects, presumably as a sop to the Left in respect of the bitter pill of surging defence-spending. (For a cameo of unhinged leftist arguments for soft power projection, see this utterly denialist opinion piece in The Guardian).
- “UK citizens should undergo national resilience training”; interpretation: brace yourselves for a Home Guard V.2.0., national service, eventual conscription of your kids, rationing, rolling blackouts, travel restrictions, curfews and possible compulsory appropriation of your property and assets.
Concluding Thoughts
Overall, the National Security Strategy 2025 document is part of a process predicted over ten years ago by American analyst,
Joel Skousen,
who warned that in the final few years before hostilities would commence the western governments would start to condition their populations for war.
Hence this document is not a complete proposal but instead has to be viewed as merely the start of an increasingly explicit pre-war psychological preparation and
military expansion process.
Whereas sensitive matters within it are being mooted in a vague and abstract fashion, lacking meaningful specificity for the most part, that will change over
the course of the next few years as the narrative for war becomes increasingly more precisely articulated and projected timeframes for defence expenditure
objectives become contracted.
What is clear in the meantime, however, is that the UK’s public is being primed for a full transition into a war economy, whether we like it or not.
As for stirring up traditional British resolve and fortitude, that stands as a tall order absent some kind of sea-change-inducing catalyst while the
establishment continues to trample underfoot the concerns of the British people, while we have
a king that honours the destroyers and enemies of British culture,
while we have politicians seeking to police and enforce national thought, and while upstanding decent people are castigated as “far right” for voicing their concerns.
But the UK is not the only country singing off this hymn sheet.
France's National Strategic Review (RNS 2025)
repeats many of the key points, but more openly admits
an expectation of war with Russia before the present decade is out
and rather more explicitly states that France must transition into a war economy post haste.
In closing, we would urge the reader to take cognisance of the roadmap below to see where June's National Security Strategy document and 2nd June's
Strategic Defence Review point to.
UPDATE 22nd July 2025
Since publishing this article in late June, the following developments have taken place:
- Northwood Treaty: On 10th July 2025, France and the UK formalised what they call, rather self-righteously, The Coalition of the Willing, which entails a bespoke HQ in Paris (to flip between Paris and London annually) and the establishment of "Multinational Force Ukraine" to "keep peace" in the country (i.e. deter further Russian advances) once "conditions are right". This presupposes Russia agreeing to an armistice and presumbably retaining lands it has already seized in Ukraine, but it is our assessment that (a) Russia will not accept such a deal and (b) both France and Britain know this and are merely using the new arrangements as cover for sending an expeditionary force into the country in the near future to curtail Russian advances.
- Kensington Treaty: On 17th July 2025, Germany and the UK signed a "friendship and bilateral cooperation" treaty covering all manner of affairs including defence and intelligence-sharing. You can peruse the details here.